#HormuzStrikeRiskOff

#SpaceXIPOvsOpticsCrash Elon Musk's SpaceX IPO receives $250 billion in demand — four times the $75 billion target! Priced at $135 per share, valuing the company at nearly $2 trillion — the largest IPO in history. Pricing June 11th, listing June 12th (ticker SPCX). OpenAI & Anthropic also jumped in, creating a frenzied wave of AI IPOs. “Vs OpticsCrash” = Many are debating: the hype is too strong, money is flowing from crypto to stocks, will this cause a psychological crash? 🚀💥 #HormuzStrikeRiskOff The Strait of Hormuz is heating up again after the attacks. 20% of the world's oil passes through it – one attack and oil prices skyrocket, the market immediately switches to risk-averse mode. Stocks and cryptocurrencies are trembling. ✍️ In short: Elon is about to make history, but the market is both excited and scared! $SPCX $CL

#HormuzStrikeRiskOff THE CEASEFIRE LASTED LESS THAN A NEWS CYCLE Just 24 hours after reports of peace talks and ceasefire signals between the U.S. and Iran... The Middle East is heating up again. An Iranian drone reportedly shot down a U.S. Apache helicopter near the Strait of Hormuz. Trump responded by ordering a third wave of precision strikes targeting Iranian air defense systems. Iran's IRGC retaliated with drone attacks against the U.S. Fifth Fleet in Bahrain and warned that harsher responses could follow. The ceasefire narrative collapsed almost as quickly as it appeared. And yet... The market barely cared. Nasdaq fell 3.5%. Bitcoin briefly lost the $61K level. Gold dropped below $4,200, hitting a three-month low. But this wasn't a flight to safety. It was a flight from inflation risk. Investors are becoming increasingly focused on CPI and Fed policy rather than geopolitical headlines. In other words: War is no longer the market's biggest fear. Inflation is. Perhaps the most telling statistic of all? Since February, Trump has claimed that a deal with Iran was "close" more than 30 times. Each announcement sparked optimism. Each setback fueled skepticism. And now the market is starting to treat peace headlines the same way it treats earnings guidance: Trust, but verify. The real battle is no longer between bulls and bears. It's between expectations and reality. And right now, reality keeps winning. $BTC $ETH $XAUT

#HormuzStrikeRiskOff Less than 24 hours after ceasefire signals — an Iranian drone downed a US Apache helicopter in the Strait of Hormuz 🚨 Trump ordered a third round of precision strikes on Iran's air defense systems. Iran's IRGC hit the US Fifth Fleet in Bahrain and warned of "harsher retaliation." Nasdaq -3.5%. BTC briefly broke below $61K. Gold dropped under $4,200 — a 3-month low 📉 Wait. Geopolitical escalation and gold goes down? Markets are pricing hot CPI above geopolitical risk right now. Rate fears war fears. That's a genuinely strange signal 🤔 Trump has claimed a deal is "close" 30+ times since February. At this point the market has basically stopped reacting to the headline and started waiting for actual signed documents 💀 The real question: has the market become so desensitized to Trump's "deal incoming" signals that the next real breakthrough gets completely mispriced in the opposite direction? 👀

It's over, it's over!!! War has broken out again!!! Tonight's CPI is deadly!!! $BTC almost broke 60,000, my short positions are laughing --------------- First, let's talk about my positions $BTC short from 76,000 to 61,361, +386%, earned 48u The bounce from 61,700 to 63,500 shrank profits by 5u I was still feeling the pain Then the war broke out, and it directly smashed back to 61,390 The 48u came back again In the end, it was greed, I almost couldn't hold at 63,500 But I can hold the short from 76,000 --------------- 6 shorts and 1 long are all profiting $XRP short, $SHIB short, $LINK short, $BNB short, $TRX short Only $XLM long is holding strong Short is the direction --------------- Now, two big things to mention #美以伊再交火引发风险资产剧烈波动 First, the US, Israel, and Iran are fighting again Ceasefire lasted less than 24 hours before falling apart Iranian drones shot down a US Apache helicopter in the Strait of Hormuz Trump immediately ordered a third round of precision strikes Targeting Iran's air defense systems, ground control stations, and surveillance radars Iran's Revolutionary Guard then launched drone attacks on the US Fifth Fleet in Bahrain They also warned, "Stronger responses are yet to come" Nasdaq dropped 3.5% $BTC briefly fell below 61,000 Gold dropped below 4,200, hitting a three-month low My point is, since Trump started the war in February, he has said "agreement is imminent" over 30 times Do you believe it? --------------- Second, tonight at 20:30 is the CPI #五月CPI即将揭晓，加息预期重燃 May CPI data is about to be released 5.33 million people are watching TD Securities, Reuters, Goldman Sachs are all forecasting Rate hike expectations are reigniting If CPI exceeds expectations 60,000 will definitely break 56,000 is not a dream War + CPI double whammy Short sellers can laugh even in their dreams --------------- $H up 27%? 0.179? From 0.86 smashed down to 0.05 then bounced to 0.18 and you call that a rise? The major trend line is at 0.47, you're stuck in a 62% pit below Cost line is 0.16, just held Humanity is offering a 1 million u bounty for stolen clues 36 million stolen, spending 1 million to find someone This account doesn't add up 0.05 to 0.18 is the last escape door Don't bet on a rebound --------------- $ALLO 0.394 down 14% Leaked down all the way from 0.558 Major trend line at 0.32 is still above, but cost line at 0.43 is already broken Price is 8% below the cost line If the previous low at 0.38 can't hold, then 0.28 New coins have no bottom Don't catch a falling knife --------------- War + CPI double whammy is on the way If 60,000 breaks, then 56,000 I'm waiting with my 76,000 short $BTC

The Middle East powder keg exploded, chip stocks crashed, Bitcoin broke down — triple pressure hitting the market simultaneously Last night, two pieces of news triggered the market at the same time. First, the US military launched an airstrike against Iran. Trump claimed a US military helicopter was shot down and immediately ordered a "defensive strike," turning the Strait of Hormuz situation overnight from "negotiation table" back to "missile launch pad." Second, chip stocks trampled again. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index plunged nearly 6%, Coherent dropped 17%, AAOI fell 11%, and Micron, Arm, Qualcomm all came under pressure. SpaceX's epic IPO is drawing market funds away. Bitcoin responded by falling below $61,000, with $380 million liquidated in the past 24 hours and over 120,000 people liquidated. More than 8 million BTC are currently at a floating loss. Three questions must be clearly considered: First, is the Middle East situation a short-term shock or a lasting shadow? Until an agreement is reached, geopolitical risk premiums will not fade. Second, is the chip stock crash an AI bubble burst or a healthy correction? Funds are indeed withdrawing from AI semiconductors, shifting toward consumer and defensive sectors. Third, is Bitcoin a safe-haven asset or a risk asset? With the Middle East conflict escalating, gold hasn't dropped much, but Bitcoin crashed first — the market has voted with its feet. Triple pressure is pressing down on the crypto market simultaneously. The money hasn't disappeared; it has just moved to another table. The liquidation wall is right ahead: if BTC falls below $58,701, long liquidation intensity is $858 million; if it breaks above $64,842, short liquidation intensity is $2.018 billion. Both longs and shorts are on the edge. Before that, watch more and act less. $BTC

#美以伊再交火引发风险资产剧烈波动 Explosive! Renewed clashes between the US, Israel, and Iran trigger a massive sell-off in global risk assets💥 The Middle East conflict reignites, directly shattering global risk assets! Just 100 days into the US-Israel-Iran conflict, on June 7-8, the fighting escalated wildly again: Iranian missile barrages struck Israeli territory, Israel launched airstrikes on Iranian military targets, and the US military shot down an Iranian drone and bombed a radar station in the Strait of Hormuz. The three sides are fully locked in fierce combat. Capital markets were terrified, shaking across the board! - US stock futures gapped down overnight, the Nasdaq plunged 5.34%, with tech and AI high-valuation sectors brutally sold off - Global stock markets turned green, A-shares and Hong Kong stocks followed suit with declines, small caps bleeding heavily - Oil surged in pulses, approaching $95, gold rallied as a safe haven, and US Treasury yields spiked - Growth stocks were slaughtered, funds rushed into gold and US Treasuries for safety, driving safe-haven premiums to the max Core logic: Triple panic strikes, market pricing logic is being rebuilt! 1️⃣ Geopolitical panic: Risk of conflict spiraling out of control surges, shipping through the Strait of Hormuz is disrupted, choking the global energy lifeline 2️⃣ Inflation panic: Soaring oil prices push inflation higher, Fed rate cut expectations evaporate, even rate hikes may resume, delivering a fatal blow to high-valuation assets 3️⃣ Liquidity panic: Middle Eastern sovereign funds may withdraw overseas capital, global liquidity tightens, leaving risk assets with nowhere to hide In short: When the cannons fire, growth stocks cool off, and safe havens reign! This is no minor skirmish; it’s a full-scale escalation after 100 days of conflict, with ceasefire agreements effectively meaningless. Don’t be complacent—unless the Middle East situation stabilizes, risk assets won’t find peace! Current strategy: steer clear of high-valuation growth stocks, hold tightly to gold and energy safe havens, cash is king! $BTC $ETH

The US military just finished striking Iran's air defenses, and the Strait of Hormuz is already smoking again This isn't the first time, but each time it's harder to resolve than the last --- Let's review the background— In March this year, Hormuz announced a "closure," with the number of oil tankers passing daily dropping from 84 to less than 10 Brent crude oil was hit as high as $114, now that the ceasefire is in place, it has fallen back down But the words "ceasefire" have been said over thirty times in Hormuz Trump's words, believing even half is generous --- This time the US military targeted air defense systems, ground control stations, and surveillance radars This is not a probe, but a proportional response, well prepared No one knows how Iran will retaliate next But one thing is certain— Whenever Hormuz smokes, oil prices spike, and risk assets fall first out of respect This old script has already played out twice this year --- The crypto market is also under pressure today— $BTC at $61,200, already hovering at the $60,000 support line Tonight's CPI data plus geopolitical tensions mean two knives hanging over our heads simultaneously If either falls, $60,000 will instantly become a memory --- $H (Humanity) rose 13% today, currently at 0.159 But the SAR is still pressing at 0.19, Bollinger middle band at 0.17, no firm hold yet More critically—ZachXBT has long said this is likely an inside job Now the team has issued a 1 million USDT bounty to catch the hacker You put a bounty on yourself? The hacker still holds hundreds of millions of tokens not yet moved; this price rise is a smokescreen $LAB dropped 13%, at $8.98, 99% of tokens controlled by 30 wallets, with unlocks still coming in July The rebound is an escape window, not a bottom-fishing opportunity --- Geopolitical risks, CPI risks, hacker risks not yet resolved Keep positions light tonight; staying alive is more valuable than guessing right 🫀 $BTC $ETH $CL #SPCX-IPO超募4倍，光模块同夜崩盘 #世界杯即将开幕，加密生态全面联动

U.S. officials have revealed that they are conducting a third round of strikes against Iran. The key lies in the words "third round"—this indicates that the U.S. military actions are a planned, ongoing effort rather than a one-time, isolated warning. The situation in the Middle East is unlikely to cool down in the short term. The news was released consecutively by Jin10 and Odaily, and the capital markets often provide the most honest reaction. With the escalation of geopolitical conflicts, the global asset pricing logic is bound to undergo a reshuffle: Crude oil and gold are likely to continue rising in the short term due to supply concerns and the influx of safe-haven funds. Crypto market and U.S. stocks: once funds enter safe-haven mode, they will quickly withdraw from risk assets. Especially in the 24/7 crypto space, short-term panic selling or extreme volatile spikes and drops are very likely. Overall, the geopolitical black swan is taking off again, and the market has entered a high-risk, safety-driven phase. The current operational advice is actually quite simple: watch more, trade less, and strictly control leverage. Blindly bottom-fishing on the left side or opening high-leverage bets on direction in this market can easily lead to double liquidation on both longs and shorts. Going forward, closely monitor the trends of crude oil and gold—they are the market’s barometers. If oil prices continue to surge due to the conflict, it will inevitably transmit to inflation expectations, thereby suppressing the broader market. Cash is king at this time; wait for the actual impact to become clear and for sentiment to stabilize before looking for opportunities. Protecting principal is always more important than offense. #三方停火信号，半导体单日涨超5% #AI超级IPO时代开启：OpenAI秘密递表 #加密立法两院同步推进 $BTC

Assassin Community UEX Daily Report | 2026.6.10 Total Market Cap 2.21 Trillion (-1%) BTC 61180 (-1.34%), ETH 1640 (-1.42%) US stocks are mixed; Dow slightly up at 50872, S&P and Nasdaq down 0.26% and 0.97% respectively Gold at 4233 USD (-1.3%), WTI crude oil surged to 90 USD (+1.79%), Dollar Index almost unchanged at 100.007 Crypto Stock Contracts (traditional asset mapping segment) 24h volume 22.69 billion (+27.38%), open interest 7.78 billion (+5.63%) Liquidations at 55.22 million USD, not large Tech sector open interest remains dominant at 1.14 billion, financials 147 million, consumer 66.65 million Gold open interest is the largest at 3.31 billion, silver and WTI also remain high BTC Liquidation Map Highlights Long positions around 60.5k–61.5k have mostly been cleared, short-term downward momentum is weak. Above 63.5k–64.5k, over 600 million USD in short orders are placed. If BTC can hold above 63k and push higher, it could easily squeeze shorts and directly reach 64–65k. Three factors driving sentiment 1. The US-Iran conflict has escalated into real fighting, with Iran launching missiles and drones, and the US military responding. Trump says he can help rebuild Iran but wants oil in return; the market first pushed oil prices up. The Energy Department said global oil inventories have dropped to multi-year lows, making it hard for oil prices to fall in the short term; future depends on whether negotiations can cool tensions. 2. The Federal Reserve remains cautious, with everyone waiting for May CPI. Geopolitical issues aside, the Fed has not changed its stance yet. If CPI is mild, expectations for rate cuts this year could hold, but high oil prices mean imported inflation remains a problem, blocking both sides. 3. Negative news from AI sector. SemiAnalysis reports Nvidia's 800VDC and CPO mass production delayed to around 2028, with yield, ASIC integration, and TSMC CoWoS all bottlenecked. Yesterday, optical modules and semiconductors were heavily hit; AAOI dropped over 17%, COHR about 11%. Apple’s Siri AI also disappointed. Instead, sectors like cruises and airlines are seen as rotation destinations. Institutional views Consensus: Geopolitics supports energy, but be cautious of a pullback if peace talks progress; AI delays impact short-term supply chain stocks, but mid-to-long-term story remains intact. Leverage liquidations amplify market volatility; ETF funds saw a net BTC spot outflow of 94 million yesterday, showing caution. CryptoQuant says Bitcoin demand is at its most extreme contraction since 2019, with both spot and futures weak, possibly entering a "numb" sideways phase. #SPCX-IPO超募4倍，光模块同夜崩盘 $BTC $ETH $H #美以伊再交火引发风险资产剧烈波动 #五月CPI即将揭晓，加息预期重燃

Woke up from a sleep, and over there they just flipped the table. This isn’t a minor scuffle; it’s a direct clash between the US and Iran. CENTCOM struck at midnight, hitting radar and ground control stations near the Strait of Hormuz. The intent was clear—take out your eyes so you don’t keep watching the shipping lanes causing trouble. The IRGC didn’t wait overnight either; their drones headed straight for the Bahrain Fifth Fleet base. What’s Bahrain’s significance? It’s one of the US military’s strongholds in the Middle East. This is basically slapping each other in the face; neither side is backing down. They even threatened a "harsher response"—alright, this grudge is sealed today. On the market side, the Fear & Greed Index is still stuck at 9, extreme fear. Gold fell below 4200, hitting a three-month low, which honestly feels counterintuitive. Normally, when missiles fly, gold should spike, but instead it dropped—this shows how drained liquidity is; even safe-haven assets are being sold off, cash is king, sell everything. The Nasdaq dropped less than 1%, and AI-related stocks also mostly fell. When high-valuation assets face this kind of situation, capital runs first, no surprise there. But the real highlight today is all eyes on 8:30 PM. CPI is expected at 4.2% YoY, the highest in three years. If it actually exceeds that, then rate cuts can basically be pushed back a bit more, giving the Fed more reason to hold steady. With the combined pressure of conflict and inflation, tonight won’t be peaceful. There are a few bright spots to catch a breath. Japan’s three major banks are teaming up to develop stablecoins, pushing the compliant stablecoin infrastructure narrative forward. SpaceX IPO demand hit 250 billion, oversubscribed 4 times—off-exchange there’s no lack of bullets, but real money only dares to go into those rock-solid assets. XRP and SOL ETFs are still seeing net inflows; crypto is down but structural support remains intact. Don’t expect an immediate rally, but at least the spark is still there. In summary: geopolitical tensions are the main course, CPI is tonight’s decisive factor. This market is volatile and vulnerable, so let the bullets fly for a while first. #星球日报 #新手成长营 #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $BTC $ETH $XAU